The “Ring of Fire” pattern continues today with yet another severe weather risk for Cornhuskers. This likely will mark the end of what has been an extremely busy week in the Central Plains.
Most likely, storms should form this afternoon or evening in the northern/western 1/2 of Nebraska. Supercells seem like a good bet, with 40kt of 500mb flow aloft mixed with strong to even extreme instability. The question will be timing: can storms get going before the sun sets? If so, despite weak low-level shear, I wouldn’t count out a tornado today.
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Pattern Eases a Bit Into the Weekend
We’ll still see some severe risks into the weekend, but the ridge will flatten out a bit and the jet stream will ease aloft, keeping a lid on the overall intensity of activity into the weekend with just a marginal risk or three outlined for Saturday right now.
I wouldn’t rule out a few supercells in the Central High Plains, with hail/damaging winds the primary threats.
In other news, the monsoon continues without ceasing, and this storm chaser will likely be out and looking for some pretty electric cells over the weekend. I’ll see you all out there.