🤩 Storm Chasing Tribute Trailer Released
Also where is the Fall Season? We break that down too.
If you are like me and starting to wonder if we are going to see any fall storm chasing this year, then you are probably getting a little cranky and in need of seeing new weather content. So, please take a minute (or two and a half as it may) and check out our newest Storm Chasing Tribute Trailer on YouTube:
Where is the fall season?!
Goodness, am I right? So far, we’ve had some passing glances of jet stream energy but there has been nothing resembling a deep western U.S. trough with ridging in the east ahead of it, which is a more classic severe weather pattern for the Plains.
It’s Complicated: The pattern over North America in the coming few days is pretty complicated.
There is a highly amplified and powerful trough crossing over Canada by Saturday.
A highly amplified ridge of high pressure situated over the Pacific Northwest.
Underneath that ridge of high pressure is a small area of low-pressure in the Southwest U.S. — which could be a slight weather maker from the southwest to the Southern Plains.
Zooming In: The low in the Southwestern U.S. should bring some showers and storms from Arizona and New Mexico east to Texas and Oklahoma. For severe weather enthusiasts though, this is really a nothingburger with limited shear and instability expected to make any widespread severe weather unlikely.
Drought Relief On The Menu: The exact path of the heaviest rain totals will depend on the track of the Southwestern U.S. low pressure system. Right now, many models (including the pictured GFS below) show a more southern route which would keep the heaviest precipitation totals across the southern 1/2 of Texas and New Mexico.
Uncertainty on the track of the low: The track of the low will likely shift some, which could mean big differences for some areas in terms of precipitation totals.
What does seem obvious though is that there will be some heavy rain totals in the region.
The threat of severe weather will remain pretty low overall, but it would not be surprising too see low-end threat levels introduced in a future update.
The main threats from any severe weather that might manage to materialize would be damaging winds and hail.
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