The next two days look to be busy for severe weather from the Plains into the Southeast. A slight risk of severe storms exists starting tonight onto the Plains escalating into a moderate risk for the Southeast tomorrow.
The risk tonight will be for multiple storms quickly forming along a line across the Plains. The main threats with this activity will be large hail and damaging winds — but a tornado or two is definitely possible embedded within linear structures.
Simulated radar shows the crowded storm modes overnight tonight. Any tornadoes embedded in linear structures could develop quickly, so having a source of warnings tonight will be key.
A look into April
A series of fast-moving storm systems will continue into early April, with trailing cold fronts making sustained moisture return difficult over the Plains — probably through the first 1/2 of the month. This will make expansive severe weather events pretty unlikely initially.
There are signs of some moisture return making it north by the April 5-7 timeframe, but it will be quickly shoved south by a trailing cold front. This quick hitting scenario may repeat again a week later on the Plains.
As the month wears on, the pattern shoving cold fronts repeatedly south should ease up. This will allow a more sustained return of moisture which will probably set the stage for stronger severe weather scenarios into the latter 1/3 of the month.
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